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class="CurrChnlCls">台灣網</a> > <a href="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/econ.taiwan.cn/" target="_blank" title="經貿" class="CurrChnlCls">經貿</a> </div> </div>   <div class="content wrap"> <h1 class="title">2018年成品油價以“五連跌”收官</h1> <div class="funcs clearfix single-line"> <div class="info"> <div class="date format single-line">2018-12-29 09:26:00</div> <div class="source format single-line">來源：中國經濟網</div> <div class="resizer format single-line">字號</div> </div>  <div class="share"> <div id="bdShare"> <div>  <div class="bdsharebuttonbox bdshare-button-style0-32" data-tag="share_1" data-bd-bind="1482825957937"> <a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_tsina" data-cmd="tsina" title="分享到新浪微博"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="sqq" title="分享到QQ好友"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_qzone" data-cmd="qzone" title="分享到QQ空間"></a> </div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{"tag":"share_1","bdSize":32,"bdCustomStyle":"http://ats.taiwan.cn/homepage2021/css/bgBdShare2021.css"}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </div> </div> <div id="bdShareBtn"></div> </div>  </div> <div class="contentArea"> <div class=TRS_Editor><p align="justify">　　2018年度最後一次成品油調價窗口即將開啟。記者從國家發展改革委獲悉，根據近期國際市場油價變化情況，按照現行成品油價格形成機制，自2018年12月28日24時起，國內汽、柴油價格每噸分別降低370元和355元。2018年成品油價以“五連跌”收官。</p> <p align="justify">　　記者幫您算了一筆賬，此次調價幅度折合成升價後，92#汽油每升降低0.29元，0#柴油每升降低0.30元。以油箱容量50L的普通私家車計算，車主加滿一箱油可少花約14.5元。</p> <p align="justify">　　<strong>多因素推動國際油價下跌</strong> </p> <p align="justify">　　據國家發改委價格監測中心監測，本輪成品油調價週期內（12月14日—12月27日），國際油價大幅下降。倫敦布倫特、紐約WTI油價平均比上輪調價週期下降9.64%。</p> <p align="justify">　　因市場對全球經濟增長悲觀預期加劇，原油供應出現過剩跡象，美國股市多個交易日大幅下跌，從本月中旬開始，國際油價再度快速下降。一是全球經濟前景低迷，貿易和金融形勢不穩，地緣政治風險上升，國際能源署和美國能源資訊署近期紛紛下調2019年全球原油需求增速預估。二是美國等主要產油國供應增速加快，而庫存數據上升。以世界經濟合作與發展組織為代表的發達國家原油庫存升至28.72億桶，再度超過五年均值，原油供需關係趨於寬鬆。三是美國股市大幅下跌帶動國際油價大幅下滑。12月24日，倫敦布倫特、紐約WTI油價分別降至每桶50.47美元、42.53美元，較10月初的高點分別下降36美元、34美元，降幅超過40%，均回落至一年多來的最低位。</p> <p align="center"><img alt="" src="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/www.people.com.cn/mediafile/pic/20181229/83/12653721912637361115.png" /></p> <p align="center"><img alt="" src="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/www.people.com.cn/mediafile/pic/20181229/71/6434301472022125459.png" /></p> <p align="justify">　　<strong>全年油價“13漲11跌1擱淺”</strong> </p> <p align="justify">　　根據國內成品油價格形成機制，我國汽、柴油最高零售價格以國際市場原油價格為基礎，考慮國內平均加工成本、稅金、合理流通環節費用和適當利潤確定，每10個工作日為一個計價週期。</p> <p align="justify">　　今年以來，國內成品油價格按機制共進行了25次調整，呈現出“13漲11跌1擱淺”的格局。此外，4月30日24時還因增值稅稅率調整進行了相應下調，儘管全年油價上漲次數多於下跌次數，但從11月2日24起，國內成品油價連續大幅下跌，最大一次跌幅發生在11月30日24時，汽、柴油價格每噸分別降低了540元和520元，不僅創下2013年3月新成品油調價機制運作以來的單次降幅最高紀錄，也是2008年以來最大單次降幅。</p> <p align="justify">　　據統計，經過本輪調價，漲跌互抵後全年汽油累計跌幅為490元/噸，柴油跌幅465元/噸。這一年漲漲跌跌，終究是“綠肥紅瘦”。</p> <p align="center"><img alt="" src="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/www.people.com.cn/mediafile/pic/20181229/19/18007029807629005559.jpg" /></p> <p align="justify">　　<strong>不確定因素增多將影響油價波動加劇</strong> </p> <p align="justify">　　國家發改委價格監測中心預計，2019年，在全球經濟復蘇勢頭放緩，原油需求增速減弱而供應增加的背景下，全球原油供需關係將略顯寬鬆，國際油價走勢總體偏弱。但是，不穩定不確定因素增多，將影響油價波動加劇：一是4月份中美雙方暫停新徵關稅90天的期限到期後，貿易政策變化；二是5月初美國對伊朗制裁的豁免到期，後續美國對伊朗的態度和制裁力度；三是利比亞、委內瑞拉、敘利亞等地緣政治緊張局勢，以及全球金融市場動蕩也可能影響國際油價大幅波動。</p> <p align="justify">　　隆眾資訊分析師李彥表示，以當前的國際原油價格水準計算，下一輪成品油調價開局將呈現下調的趨勢，預計幅度在140元/噸左右。這樣的幅度意味著，下一輪調價週期的下行趨勢並不穩固。近期國際原油市場弱勢氣氛較為明顯，不過OPEC已確定明年減產的基調，供應端利好因素在元旦後或將逐漸增強，空好仍有博弈機會。預計下一輪成品油調價下調或擱淺的概率較大。</p></div> <div class="editor f14">[責任編輯：李奕均]</div> 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