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class="CurrChnlCls">台灣網</a> > <a href="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/econ.taiwan.cn/" target="_blank" title="經貿" class="CurrChnlCls">經貿</a> </div> </div>   <div class="content wrap"> <h1 class="title">6%—6.5%，含金量夠足！</h1> <div class="funcs clearfix single-line"> <div class="info"> <div class="date format single-line">2019-03-06 08:34:00</div> <div class="source format single-line">來源：人民網</div> <div class="resizer format single-line">字號</div> </div>  <div class="share"> <div id="bdShare"> <div>  <div class="bdsharebuttonbox bdshare-button-style0-32" data-tag="share_1" data-bd-bind="1482825957937"> <a href="#" class="bds_weixin" data-cmd="weixin" title="分享到微信"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_tsina" data-cmd="tsina" title="分享到新浪微博"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_tqq" data-cmd="sqq" title="分享到QQ好友"></a> <a href="#" class="bds_qzone" data-cmd="qzone" title="分享到QQ空間"></a> </div> <script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{"tag":"share_1","bdSize":32,"bdCustomStyle":"http://ats.taiwan.cn/homepage2021/css/bgBdShare2021.css"}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </div> </div> <div id="bdShareBtn"></div> </div>  </div> <div class="contentArea"> <div class=TRS_Editor><p align="justify">　　6%—6.5%，中國將2019年GDP增速預期設定在此區間。</p> <p align="justify">　　GDP增速預期，通常被視作判斷經濟形勢的頭號指標。此前3年，《政府工作報告》披露的預期目標，分別是6.5%—7%（2016年）、6.5%左右（2017年）和6.5%（2018年）。</p> <p align="justify">　　在外部環境更加複雜嚴峻、經濟下行壓力加大的背景下，預期目標的下調難免引發海內外的猜測和擔心。然而，如果綜合考量中國經濟所處的階段以及所追求的高品質發展目標，就會發現，“6%—6.5%”是一個穩健務實的區間，更是一個頗具含金量的目標。</p> <p align="justify">　　速度並不低——</p> <p align="justify">　　去年，中國GDP同比增長6.6%，對全球經濟增長貢獻率接近30%，穩居世界前五大經濟體之首，同期美國、日本、歐元區的經濟增速均不到3%。每次中國下調GDP增速目標，境外總會出現中國經濟“減速”甚至“失速”的悲觀論調。實際上，即便今年增速放緩，可以預期的是，6%以上的速度仍會是主要經濟體中最快的之一。中國毫無疑問仍將是推動世界經濟增長的“主引擎”。</p> <p align="justify">　　尊重規律——</p> <p align="justify">　　當經濟總盤子達到一定規模，增速回落是正常規律。二戰後那些成功追趕型經濟體幾乎都經歷了這一過程，中國也已進入速度換擋期。體量更大時，增速調低、增量未必減。2018年，中國經濟總量首次突破90萬億元，一年增量相當於澳大利亞經濟總量。2019年即便以6%的下限計算，仍將貢獻極其可觀的增量。</p> <p align="justify">　　就業底線守得住，又預留了防風險、調結構的空間——</p> <p align="justify">　　穩增長首要的是保就業。2019年，中國確定了“城鎮新增就業1100萬人以上，城鎮調查失業率5.5%左右，城鎮登記失業率4.5%以內”的就業目標。統籌考慮中國當前經濟運作對就業的承載能力、結構優化對就業彈性的促進，6%以上的增速可以兜住“穩就業”。</p> <p align="justify">　　更重要的是，邁向高品質發展的中國，追求的早已不是某個讓外界驚嘆的數字，而是經濟結構的優化、經濟品質的提升。在保持合理增速的同時，把更多力量投入轉型升級、提高速度背後的含金量，已成為社會共識。</p> <p align="justify">　　明白這些，或許可以放下“速度包袱”、拋開“數字幻覺”，全面理性地評析中國經濟形勢。</p> <p align="justify">　　“穩”的基調沒變。今年1月份，中國的居民消費、進出口、信貸投放等各項指標相繼迎來“開門紅”。同期，就業穩定、物價溫和、居民收入增加、國際收支改善，不難看出，中國經濟依然在平穩的軌道上運作。</p> <p align="justify">　　“進”的因素在增加。三大攻堅戰不斷取得新收穫，經濟肌體更健康了；新產業新業態佔比擴大、增勢強勁，後勁更足了；市場興旺消費升級，內需動力更強了。還有一天超過1億件快遞在穿梭、日均5.8萬戶市場主體新註冊、接連創出新高的電影票房和出境遊人數……一連串數據更加鮮活地勾勒出活力滿滿的中國。</p> <p align="justify">　　置身這樣的中國，恐怕沒有什麼人會被所謂的“崩潰論”“滯脹論”嚇住，而是對“經濟長期向好趨勢沒有也不會改變”這一判斷更有信心。</p> <p align="justify">　　（作者為本報高級編輯）</p></div> <div class="editor f14">[責任編輯：李奕均]</div> </div>  <div class="page-number"> <script type="text/javascript"> createPageHTML(1, 0, "t20190306_12144600", "htm"); </script> </div>  </div>   <div class="content-plus"> <div class="wrap"> <h3 class="zone-desc-content"><span class="format">相關新聞</span></h3> <ul class="list clearfix"> <li class="list-item single-line f14"><a href="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/econ.taiwan.cn/econ/201903/t20190305_12144514.htm" target="_blank" title="三封內部郵件“繪製”一點資訊戰略調整脈絡">三封內部郵件“繪製”一點資訊戰略調整脈絡</a></li> <li class="list-item single-line f14"><a href="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/econ.taiwan.cn/econ/201903/t20190305_12144511.htm" target="_blank" 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