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<script>window._bd_share_config={"common":{"bdSnsKey":{},"bdText":"","bdMini":"2","bdMiniList":false,"bdPic":"","bdStyle":"0","bdSize":"16"},"share":{"tag":"share_1","bdSize":32,"bdCustomStyle":"http://ats.taiwan.cn/homepage2021/css/bgBdShare2021.css"}};with(document)0[(getElementsByTagName('head')[0]||body).appendChild(createElement('script')).src='http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/bdimg.share.baidu.com/static/api/js/share.js?v=89860593.js?cdnversion='+~(-new Date()/36e5)];</script>  </div> </div> <div id="bdShareBtn"></div> </div>  </div> <div class="contentArea"> <div class=TRS_Editor><p align="center"><img alt="" src="http://103.249.53.35/gate/big5/i.ce.cn/ce/xwzx/gnsz/gdxw/201904/13/W020190413236294197167.jpg" /></p> <p>　　4月12日，中國人民銀行發佈的一季度金融數據大幅超出市場預期。數據顯示，3月末，廣義貨幣（M2）餘額188.94萬億元，同比增長8.6%，創下近13個月的新高，增速分別比上月末和上年同期高0.6個和0.4個百分點。一季度社會融資規模增量累計為8.18萬億元，比上年同期多2.34萬億元。</p> <p>　　數據發佈前，市場就預計金融數據將有所反彈，但數據反彈的力度明顯超出市場預期。“總的來看，社融增速逐漸企穩回升，市場流動性較為充裕，居民部門和企業部門信貸都有改善，金融支援實體經濟力度增強。”中國民生銀行首席研究員溫彬表示，新增人民幣貸款明顯超出預期。</p> <p>　　央行公佈的數據顯示，一季度人民幣貸款增加5.81萬億元。其中，3月份，人民幣貸款增加1.69萬億元，同比多增5777億元。</p> <p>　　溫彬認為，一般來說，3月新增人民幣貸款通常較2月有所增加，2016年至2018年2月新增人民幣貸款平均為9120億元、3月新增人民幣貸款平均為1.17萬億元。而今年3月人民幣貸款增加1.69萬億元，雖存在一定季節性回升因素，但明顯高於歷史同期。</p> <p>　　不僅人民幣貸款明顯多增，M2增速更創下13個月以來的新高。交通銀行金融研究中心高級研究員陳冀表示，M2明顯反彈除信貸超預期增長的因素外，還與宏觀流動性處於適度充裕的水準有關，市場對於央行未來貨幣政策進一步往偏松調整的預期較為明確。在預期偏松的流動性環境下，金融機構資產端配置積極性越來越高，信用創造的能力更強。</p> <p>　　年初市場較為關注的狹義貨幣（M1）指標反彈幅度也不小。數據顯示，3月末，M1餘額同比增長4.6%，增速比上月末高2.6個百分點。陳冀預計，M1與M2增速可能繼續回升。</p> <p>　　一季度金融數據中，另一大亮點是企業融資的改善。一方面，企業部門中長期貸款超預期增長，另一方面，企業債券融資有所回升。</p> <p>　　數據顯示，一季度非金融企業及機關團體貸款增加4.48萬億元，其中，短期貸款增加1.05萬億元，中長期貸款增加2.57萬億元。一季度企業債券凈融資9071億元，同比多3801億元。</p> <p>　　陳冀表示，從信貸投向結構看，一季度新增5.81萬億元貸款中，有2.57萬億元投向企業部門的中長期貸款、1.38萬億元投向居民部門中長期貸款。一季度流向企業部門的信貸融資佔比達到77.1%，較去年同期的61.6%大幅提升，表明今年信貸支援實體經濟的力度明顯增強。</p> <p>　　“企業端的數據表現出色，是過往一系列逆週期調節政策落地見效、融資擴張的約束減少的結果。”聯訊證券首席經濟學家李奇霖認為，首先，今年財政支出發力更早，Wind統計顯示，一季度地方債凈融資已超過1.2萬億元，較2018年同期增長1萬億元左右；其次，央行的貨幣政策在一定程度上降低了銀行支援實體經濟的後顧之憂，先是通過定向降準給銀行釋放穩定的長期資金，幫助銀行降低負債成本，補充負債，再推出央行票據互換（CBS）幫助銀行解決資本金問題，又放寬了對普惠金融、小微企業的不良容忍度，緩解了監管壓力。</p> <p>　　陳冀表示，一季度金融數據表明，當前的融資主要仍由一些信用風險較低的融資需求支撐，大量融資集中在低成本融資渠道也是當前融資結構的一個不足，在“增信用”方面，中小企業融資需求和融資成本等的改善空間依然很大。</p> <p>　　溫彬認為，下一階段，貨幣政策仍將保持鬆緊適度的穩健基調。在融資規模“量”改善的情況下，宜更加關注政策傳導的通暢性和“價”的合理，不斷推進實體經濟融資成本降低。（經濟日報·中國經濟網記者陳果靜）</p></div> <div class="editor f14">[責任編輯：王怡然]</div> </div>  <div class="page-number"> <script type="text/javascript"> createPageHTML(1, 0, "t20190416_12156823", "htm"); </script> </div>  </div>   <div class="content-plus"> <div class="wrap"> <h3 class="zone-desc-content"><span class="format">相關新聞</span></h3> <ul class="list clearfix"> <li class="list-item single-line f14"><a href="http://103.249.53.35/xwzx/PoliticsNews/202008/t20200818_12290946.htm" target="_blank" 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